International Journal of Reciprocal Symmetry and Theoretical Physics

Peer Reviewed Article

Vol. 2 (2015)

A Single Long Short-Term Memory Network can Predict Rainfall-Runoff at Multiple Timescales

Published
2015-03-31

Abstract

Long Short-Term Memory Networks, otherwise known as LSTMs, have not been left out when it comes to applying them to daily discharge forecasts rather successfully. A good number of experimental cases, be as it may, need forecasts in a manner with a more granular time frame. Case in point, the correct forecast of brief but intense flooding apexes can bring about a difference with the capacity of saving lives in mass. Still, such climaxes have the capability of escaping the rough non-permanent resolve of daily forecasts. Nevertheless, when an LSTM data is naively learned on an hourly data basis, it entails a time-consuming process with lots of stages, which makes the training complex and computationally-cum financially costly. With this research, we suggest a pair of Multi-Time Scale LSTM or MTS-LSTM frameworks that collaboratively forecast a multiplicity of timescales inside a single model. This is done as they proceed with long-past investments in one non-permanent resolve and diversify into every timescale in order to arrive at more current input stages. For this, we carry out a test on these models on a total of 516 basins through the continental United States and standard in comparison with the United States National Water Model. Juxtaposed with naive forecasts that have distinctive LSTM for each time scale, multi-timescale designs will be computationally the more efficient party, suffering no loss of correctness. Outside the quality of predictions, the multiple-facing timescale has the capacity to process a variety of input variables at various timescales. That, in question, proves quite relevant when it comes to operational applications in which meteorological forcings’ lead time is contingent upon their non-permanent resolutions.

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